Saturday 27 January 2018, 16:30
Red Bull Arena
Full time
71%
18%
10%
Home win
71.2%
Draw
18.4%
Away win
10.4%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| RB Leipzig | 71.2% | 1.40 | — | — |
| Draw | 18.4% | 5.43 | — | — |
| Hamburger SV | 10.4% | 9.64 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 94.8% | 1.06 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 5.2% | 19.06 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 81.3% | 1.23 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 18.7% | 5.34 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 58.7% | 1.70 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 41.3% | 2.42 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 36.3% | 2.75 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 63.7% | 1.57 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 19.3% | 5.19 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 80.7% | 1.24 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 48.4% | 2.06 | — | — |
| No | 51.6% | 1.94 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| RB Leipzig / Draw | 89.6% | 1.12 | — | — |
| RB Leipzig / Hamburger SV | 81.6% | 1.23 | — | — |
| Draw / Hamburger SV | 28.8% | 3.47 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
5.2
|
3.1
|
1.4
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
10.4
|
8.8
|
3.2
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
12.4
|
9.5
|
3.6
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
9.4
|
7.2
|
2.7
|
0.7
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
5.4
|
4.1
|
1.6
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
2.5
|
1.9
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Mar 2026
Hamburger SV
1-2
RB Leipzig
Oct 2025
RB Leipzig
2-1
Hamburger SV
Sep 2017
Hamburger SV
0-2
RB Leipzig
Feb 2017
RB Leipzig
0-3
Hamburger SV
Sep 2016
Hamburger SV
0-4
RB Leipzig
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.