Skip to content
Saturday 20 January 2018, 16:30 Schwarzwald-Stadion Full time
26% 24% 50%
Home win
26.0%
Draw
24.1%
Away win
49.9%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
SC Freiburg 26.0% 3.84
Draw 24.1% 4.15
RB Leipzig 49.9% 2.01

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 94.9% 1.05
Under 0.5 5.1% 19.60
Over 1.5 82.3% 1.22
Under 1.5 17.7% 5.63
Over 2.5 60.0% 1.67
Under 2.5 40.0% 2.50
Over 3.5 37.7% 2.65
Under 3.5 62.3% 1.60
Over 4.5 20.3% 4.93
Under 4.5 79.7% 1.25

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 61.1% 1.64
No 38.9% 2.57

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
SC Freiburg / Draw 50.1% 1.99
SC Freiburg / RB Leipzig 75.9% 1.32
Draw / RB Leipzig 74.0% 1.35

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
5.1
7.6
7.5
4.6
2.1
0.8
1
5.1
11.1
9.6
5.8
2.7
1.0
2
3.6
6.7
6.1
3.7
1.7
0.6
3
1.5
2.8
2.6
1.6
0.7
0.3
4
0.5
0.9
0.8
0.5
0.2
0.1
5
0.1
0.2
0.2
0.1
0.1
0.0
Rows: SC Freiburg goals. Columns: RB Leipzig goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.