Saturday 9 December 2017, 16:30
Red Bull Arena
Full time
69%
19%
12%
Home win
69.0%
Draw
18.7%
Away win
12.3%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| RB Leipzig | 69.0% | 1.45 | — | — |
| Draw | 18.7% | 5.35 | — | — |
| FSV Mainz 05 | 12.3% | 8.11 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 95.6% | 1.05 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 4.4% | 22.51 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 83.8% | 1.19 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 16.2% | 6.17 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 62.7% | 1.60 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 37.3% | 2.68 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 40.5% | 2.47 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 59.5% | 1.68 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 22.5% | 4.44 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 77.5% | 1.29 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 54.0% | 1.85 | — | — |
| No | 46.0% | 2.18 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| RB Leipzig / Draw | 87.7% | 1.14 | — | — |
| RB Leipzig / FSV Mainz 05 | 81.3% | 1.23 | — | — |
| Draw / FSV Mainz 05 | 31.0% | 3.22 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
4.4
|
3.0
|
1.6
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
8.7
|
8.8
|
3.7
|
1.1
|
0.3
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
10.8
|
9.7
|
4.3
|
1.3
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
8.4
|
7.5
|
3.4
|
1.0
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
4.9
|
4.4
|
2.0
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
2.3
|
2.0
|
0.9
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Jan 2026
RB Leipzig
1-2
FSV Mainz 05
Sep 2025
FSV Mainz 05
0-1
RB Leipzig
Mar 2025
RB Leipzig
1-2
FSV Mainz 05
Oct 2024
FSV Mainz 05
0-2
RB Leipzig
Mar 2024
RB Leipzig
0-0
FSV Mainz 05
Nov 2023
FSV Mainz 05
2-0
RB Leipzig
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.