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Saturday 18 November 2017, 16:30 BayArena Full time
38% 24% 38%
Home win
38.0%
Draw
23.7%
Away win
38.3%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Bayer Leverkusen 38.0% 2.63
Draw 23.7% 4.21
RB Leipzig 38.3% 2.61

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 96.1% 1.04
Under 0.5 3.9% 25.96
Over 1.5 86.1% 1.16
Under 1.5 13.9% 7.19
Over 2.5 66.4% 1.51
Under 2.5 33.6% 2.97
Over 3.5 44.6% 2.24
Under 3.5 55.4% 1.80
Over 4.5 25.9% 3.86
Under 4.5 74.1% 1.35

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 67.6% 1.48
No 32.4% 3.09

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Bayer Leverkusen / Draw 61.7% 1.62
Bayer Leverkusen / RB Leipzig 76.3% 1.31
Draw / RB Leipzig 62.0% 1.61

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
3.9
5.0
4.8
2.7
1.2
0.4
1
5.0
10.1
8.2
4.7
2.0
0.7
2
4.8
8.2
7.0
4.0
1.7
0.6
3
2.7
4.6
4.0
2.3
1.0
0.3
4
1.2
2.0
1.7
1.0
0.4
0.1
5
0.4
0.7
0.6
0.3
0.1
0.0
Rows: Bayer Leverkusen goals. Columns: RB Leipzig goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.