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Sunday 1 October 2017, 19:00 RheinEnergieStadion Full time
33% 26% 41%
Home win
33.2%
Draw
26.1%
Away win
40.7%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
1. FC Köln 33.2% 3.02
Draw 26.1% 3.83
RB Leipzig 40.7% 2.46

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 93.7% 1.07
Under 0.5 6.3% 15.98
Over 1.5 79.1% 1.26
Under 1.5 20.9% 4.77
Over 2.5 55.1% 1.81
Under 2.5 44.9% 2.23
Over 3.5 32.8% 3.05
Under 3.5 67.2% 1.49
Over 4.5 16.6% 6.01
Under 4.5 83.4% 1.20

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 58.9% 1.70
No 41.1% 2.43

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
1. FC Köln / Draw 59.3% 1.69
1. FC Köln / RB Leipzig 73.9% 1.35
Draw / RB Leipzig 66.8% 1.50

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
6.3
7.8
6.5
3.3
1.3
0.4
1
6.9
12.3
8.8
4.5
1.7
0.5
2
5.1
7.9
6.0
3.1
1.2
0.4
3
2.3
3.6
2.7
1.4
0.5
0.2
4
0.8
1.2
0.9
0.5
0.2
0.1
5
0.2
0.3
0.3
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: 1. FC Köln goals. Columns: RB Leipzig goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.