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Sunday 27 August 2017, 16:30 Red Bull Arena Full time
71% 18% 11%
Home win
70.9%
Draw
17.6%
Away win
11.4%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
RB Leipzig 70.9% 1.41
Draw 17.6% 5.67
SC Freiburg 11.4% 8.76

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 96.0% 1.04
Under 0.5 4.0% 25.16
Over 1.5 85.2% 1.17
Under 1.5 14.8% 6.75
Over 2.5 65.0% 1.54
Under 2.5 35.0% 2.86
Over 3.5 43.1% 2.32
Under 3.5 56.9% 1.76
Over 4.5 24.6% 4.06
Under 4.5 75.4% 1.33

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 54.7% 1.83
No 45.3% 2.21

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
RB Leipzig / Draw 88.6% 1.13
RB Leipzig / SC Freiburg 82.4% 1.21
Draw / SC Freiburg 29.1% 3.44

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
4.0
2.7
1.4
0.4
0.1
0.0
1
8.1
8.2
3.5
1.0
0.2
0.0
2
10.5
9.5
4.3
1.3
0.3
0.1
3
8.6
7.7
3.5
1.0
0.2
0.0
4
5.3
4.7
2.1
0.6
0.1
0.0
5
2.6
2.3
1.0
0.3
0.1
0.0
Rows: RB Leipzig goals. Columns: SC Freiburg goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.