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Saturday 6 May 2017, 19:30 Olympiastadion Full time
Hertha Berlin
1–4
HT 0–1
RB Leipzig
33% 30% 37%
Home win
33.1%
Draw
30.1%
Away win
36.8%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Hertha Berlin 33.1% 3.02 — —
Draw 30.1% 3.32 — —
RB Leipzig 36.8% 2.72 — —

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 88.9% 1.12 — —
Under 0.5 11.1% 9.05 — —
Over 1.5 67.2% 1.49 — —
Under 1.5 32.8% 3.05 — —
Over 2.5 39.8% 2.51 — —
Under 2.5 60.2% 1.66 — —
Over 3.5 19.6% 5.10 — —
Under 3.5 80.4% 1.24 — —
Over 4.5 8.1% 12.33 — —
Under 4.5 91.9% 1.09 — —

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 47.0% 2.13 — —
No 53.0% 1.89 — —

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Hertha Berlin / Draw 63.2% 1.58 — —
Hertha Berlin / RB Leipzig 69.9% 1.43 — —
Draw / RB Leipzig 66.9% 1.49 — —

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
11.1
11.3
7.1
2.8
0.8
0.2
1
10.5
14.1
7.8
3.1
0.9
0.2
2
6.2
7.3
4.3
1.7
0.5
0.1
3
2.3
2.7
1.6
0.6
0.2
0.0
4
0.6
0.7
0.4
0.2
0.1
0.0
5
0.1
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Hertha Berlin goals. Columns: RB Leipzig goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Hertha Berlin
L W L W L
RB Leipzig
W W W D D

Head to head

Apr 2023 Hertha Berlin 0-1 RB Leipzig Oct 2022 RB Leipzig 3-2 Hertha Berlin Feb 2022 Hertha Berlin 1-6 RB Leipzig Sep 2021 RB Leipzig 6-0 Hertha Berlin Feb 2021 Hertha Berlin 0-3 RB Leipzig Oct 2020 RB Leipzig 2-1 Hertha Berlin

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.