Saturday 15 April 2017, 16:30
Opel Arena
Full time
37%
28%
35%
Home win
37.3%
Draw
27.7%
Away win
35.1%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FSV Mainz 05 | 37.3% | 2.68 | — | — |
| Draw | 27.7% | 3.61 | — | — |
| Hertha Berlin | 35.1% | 2.85 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 92.1% | 1.09 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 7.9% | 12.61 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 74.6% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 25.4% | 3.94 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 49.0% | 2.04 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 51.0% | 1.96 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 27.1% | 3.69 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 72.9% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 12.7% | 7.85 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 87.3% | 1.15 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 54.3% | 1.84 | — | — |
| No | 45.7% | 2.19 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FSV Mainz 05 / Draw | 64.9% | 1.54 | — | — |
| FSV Mainz 05 / Hertha Berlin | 72.3% | 1.38 | — | — |
| Draw / Hertha Berlin | 62.7% | 1.59 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
7.9
|
8.5
|
6.0
|
2.6
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
| 1 |
8.9
|
13.2
|
8.0
|
3.5
|
1.1
|
0.3
|
| 2 |
6.5
|
8.3
|
5.4
|
2.3
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
| 3 |
2.9
|
3.7
|
2.4
|
1.0
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
1.0
|
1.2
|
0.8
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.3
|
0.3
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Mar 2023
Hertha Berlin
1-1
FSV Mainz 05
Sep 2022
FSV Mainz 05
1-1
Hertha Berlin
May 2022
Hertha Berlin
1-2
FSV Mainz 05
Dec 2021
FSV Mainz 05
4-0
Hertha Berlin
May 2021
FSV Mainz 05
1-1
Hertha Berlin
Dec 2020
Hertha Berlin
0-0
FSV Mainz 05
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.