Sunday 19 March 2017, 16:30
Opel Arena
Full time
35%
28%
37%
Home win
35.3%
Draw
27.8%
Away win
36.9%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FSV Mainz 05 | 35.3% | 2.83 | — | — |
| Draw | 27.8% | 3.59 | — | — |
| FC Schalke 04 | 36.9% | 2.71 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 91.9% | 1.09 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 8.1% | 12.35 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 74.2% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 25.8% | 3.88 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 48.4% | 2.06 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 51.6% | 1.94 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 26.6% | 3.75 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 73.4% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 12.4% | 8.05 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 87.6% | 1.14 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 53.9% | 1.86 | — | — |
| No | 46.1% | 2.17 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FSV Mainz 05 / Draw | 63.1% | 1.58 | — | — |
| FSV Mainz 05 / FC Schalke 04 | 72.2% | 1.39 | — | — |
| Draw / FC Schalke 04 | 64.7% | 1.55 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
8.1
|
9.0
|
6.4
|
2.8
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
| 1 |
8.7
|
13.3
|
8.3
|
3.6
|
1.2
|
0.3
|
| 2 |
6.1
|
8.1
|
5.3
|
2.4
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
| 3 |
2.6
|
3.5
|
2.3
|
1.0
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
0.8
|
1.1
|
0.7
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.2
|
0.3
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
May 2023
FSV Mainz 05
2-3
FC Schalke 04
Nov 2022
FC Schalke 04
1-0
FSV Mainz 05
Mar 2021
FC Schalke 04
0-0
FSV Mainz 05
Nov 2020
FSV Mainz 05
2-2
FC Schalke 04
Feb 2020
FSV Mainz 05
0-0
FC Schalke 04
Sep 2019
FC Schalke 04
2-1
FSV Mainz 05
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.