Saturday 25 February 2017, 16:30
BayArena
Full time
60%
20%
19%
Home win
60.2%
Draw
20.4%
Away win
19.4%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bayer Leverkusen | 60.2% | 1.66 | — | — |
| Draw | 20.4% | 4.90 | — | — |
| FSV Mainz 05 | 19.4% | 5.15 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 96.6% | 1.03 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 3.4% | 29.59 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 87.4% | 1.14 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 12.6% | 7.93 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 68.8% | 1.45 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 31.2% | 3.20 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 47.3% | 2.11 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 52.7% | 1.90 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 28.3% | 3.53 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 71.7% | 1.40 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 64.8% | 1.54 | — | — |
| No | 35.2% | 2.84 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bayer Leverkusen / Draw | 80.6% | 1.24 | — | — |
| Bayer Leverkusen / FSV Mainz 05 | 79.6% | 1.26 | — | — |
| Draw / FSV Mainz 05 | 39.8% | 2.51 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
3.4
|
3.1
|
2.3
|
0.9
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
6.1
|
8.8
|
5.2
|
2.2
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
| 2 |
7.6
|
9.5
|
6.0
|
2.5
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
| 3 |
5.8
|
7.3
|
4.6
|
1.9
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
| 4 |
3.3
|
4.2
|
2.6
|
1.1
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 5 |
1.5
|
1.9
|
1.2
|
0.5
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Feb 2026
Bayer Leverkusen
1-1
FSV Mainz 05
Oct 2025
FSV Mainz 05
3-4
Bayer Leverkusen
May 2025
FSV Mainz 05
2-2
Bayer Leverkusen
Jan 2025
Bayer Leverkusen
1-0
FSV Mainz 05
Feb 2024
Bayer Leverkusen
2-1
FSV Mainz 05
Sep 2023
FSV Mainz 05
0-3
Bayer Leverkusen
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.