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Sunday 22 January 2017, 18:30 Opel Arena Full time
36% 26% 38%
Home win
35.8%
Draw
26.3%
Away win
37.8%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
FSV Mainz 05 35.8% 2.79
Draw 26.3% 3.80
1. FC Köln 37.8% 2.64

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 93.6% 1.07
Under 0.5 6.4% 15.64
Over 1.5 78.7% 1.27
Under 1.5 21.3% 4.69
Over 2.5 54.6% 1.83
Under 2.5 45.4% 2.20
Over 3.5 32.3% 3.10
Under 3.5 67.7% 1.48
Over 4.5 16.3% 6.14
Under 4.5 83.7% 1.19

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 58.7% 1.70
No 41.3% 2.42

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
FSV Mainz 05 / Draw 62.2% 1.61
FSV Mainz 05 / 1. FC Köln 73.7% 1.36
Draw / 1. FC Köln 64.2% 1.56

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
6.4
7.6
6.0
2.9
1.1
0.3
1
7.3
12.4
8.5
4.1
1.5
0.4
2
5.7
8.2
6.0
2.9
1.1
0.3
3
2.7
3.9
2.8
1.4
0.5
0.1
4
0.9
1.4
1.0
0.5
0.2
0.1
5
0.3
0.4
0.3
0.1
0.1
0.0
Rows: FSV Mainz 05 goals. Columns: 1. FC Köln goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.