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Saturday 26 November 2016, 16:30 RheinEnergieStadion Full time
62% 25% 13%
Home win
62.4%
Draw
24.9%
Away win
12.7%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
1. FC Köln 62.4% 1.60
Draw 24.9% 4.02
FC Augsburg 12.7% 7.86

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 89.2% 1.12
Under 0.5 10.8% 9.29
Over 1.5 67.3% 1.49
Under 1.5 32.7% 3.06
Over 2.5 40.1% 2.49
Under 2.5 59.9% 1.67
Over 3.5 19.8% 5.04
Under 3.5 80.2% 1.25
Over 4.5 8.2% 12.13
Under 4.5 91.8% 1.09

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 38.0% 2.63
No 62.0% 1.61

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
1. FC Köln / Draw 87.3% 1.15
1. FC Köln / FC Augsburg 75.1% 1.33
Draw / FC Augsburg 37.6% 2.66

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
10.8
5.6
1.9
0.4
0.1
0.0
1
16.3
11.1
3.2
0.7
0.1
0.0
2
14.2
8.7
2.7
0.6
0.1
0.0
3
7.9
4.9
1.5
0.3
0.0
0.0
4
3.3
2.0
0.6
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
1.1
0.7
0.2
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: 1. FC Köln goals. Columns: FC Augsburg goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.