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Saturday 5 November 2016, 19:30 Commerzbank-Arena Full time
36% 30% 34%
Home win
36.2%
Draw
29.7%
Away win
34.1%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Eintracht Frankfurt 36.2% 2.76
Draw 29.7% 3.37
1. FC Köln 34.1% 2.93

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 89.5% 1.12
Under 0.5 10.5% 9.57
Over 1.5 68.6% 1.46
Under 1.5 31.4% 3.18
Over 2.5 41.4% 2.42
Under 2.5 58.6% 1.71
Over 3.5 20.8% 4.80
Under 3.5 79.2% 1.26
Over 4.5 8.8% 11.34
Under 4.5 91.2% 1.10

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 48.3% 2.07
No 51.7% 1.93

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Eintracht Frankfurt / Draw 65.9% 1.52
Eintracht Frankfurt / 1. FC Köln 70.3% 1.42
Draw / 1. FC Köln 63.8% 1.57

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
10.5
10.3
6.4
2.4
0.7
0.2
1
10.7
14.0
7.6
2.9
0.8
0.2
2
6.8
7.8
4.5
1.7
0.5
0.1
3
2.7
3.1
1.8
0.7
0.2
0.0
4
0.8
0.9
0.5
0.2
0.1
0.0
5
0.2
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Eintracht Frankfurt goals. Columns: 1. FC Köln goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.