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Sunday 25 September 2016, 18:45 RheinEnergieStadion Full time
1. FC Köln
1–1
HT 1–1
RB Leipzig
25% 38% 37%
Home win
25.1%
Draw
38.3%
Away win
36.6%

Provisional One or both sides have too little top-flight history for the model to have a settled opinion. These numbers will move as matches are played.

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
1. FC Köln 25.1% 3.98 — —
Draw 38.3% 2.61 — —
RB Leipzig 36.6% 2.73 — —

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 76.5% 1.31 — —
Under 0.5 23.5% 4.25 — —
Over 1.5 44.2% 2.26 — —
Under 1.5 55.8% 1.79 — —
Over 2.5 18.6% 5.39 — —
Under 2.5 81.4% 1.23 — —
Over 3.5 6.3% 15.90 — —
Under 3.5 93.7% 1.07 — —
Over 4.5 1.8% 56.98 — —
Under 4.5 98.2% 1.02 — —

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 27.6% 3.63 — —
No 72.4% 1.38 — —

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
1. FC Köln / Draw 63.4% 1.58 — —
1. FC Köln / RB Leipzig 61.7% 1.62 — —
Draw / RB Leipzig 74.9% 1.34 — —

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
23.5
18.3
8.0
2.2
0.5
0.1
1
13.9
13.0
5.1
1.4
0.3
0.1
2
4.7
3.9
1.6
0.5
0.1
0.0
3
1.0
0.8
0.4
0.1
0.0
0.0
4
0.2
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
5
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: 1. FC Köln goals. Columns: RB Leipzig goals. Values are percentages.

Form

1. FC Köln
W D W W
RB Leipzig
D W W D

Head to head

Feb 2026 1. FC Köln 1-2 RB Leipzig Sep 2025 RB Leipzig 3-1 1. FC Köln Mar 2024 1. FC Köln 1-5 RB Leipzig Oct 2023 RB Leipzig 6-0 1. FC Köln Feb 2023 1. FC Köln 0-0 RB Leipzig Aug 2022 RB Leipzig 2-2 1. FC Köln

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.