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Sunday 30 October 2016, 18:30 RheinEnergieStadion Full time
79% 16% 5%
Home win
79.5%
Draw
15.9%
Away win
4.7%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
1. FC Köln 79.5% 1.26
Draw 15.9% 6.31
Hamburger SV 4.7% 21.42

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 92.3% 1.08
Under 0.5 7.7% 13.01
Over 1.5 73.9% 1.35
Under 1.5 26.1% 3.84
Over 2.5 48.6% 2.06
Under 2.5 51.4% 1.94
Over 3.5 26.7% 3.74
Under 3.5 73.3% 1.37
Over 4.5 12.5% 8.01
Under 4.5 87.5% 1.14

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 29.0% 3.45
No 71.0% 1.41

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
1. FC Köln / Draw 95.3% 1.05
1. FC Köln / Hamburger SV 84.1% 1.19
Draw / Hamburger SV 20.5% 4.87

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
7.7
2.4
0.5
0.1
0.0
0.0
1
15.9
6.7
1.2
0.2
0.0
0.0
2
18.2
7.0
1.4
0.2
0.0
0.0
3
13.5
5.2
1.0
0.1
0.0
0.0
4
7.5
2.9
0.6
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
3.4
1.3
0.3
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: 1. FC Köln goals. Columns: Hamburger SV goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.