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Saturday 15 October 2016, 16:30 Borussia-Park Full time
63% 22% 15%
Home win
63.2%
Draw
22.3%
Away win
14.6%

Provisional One or both sides have too little top-flight history for the model to have a settled opinion. These numbers will move as matches are played.

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Borussia Mönchengladbach 63.2% 1.58
Draw 22.3% 4.49
Hamburger SV 14.6% 6.87

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 93.2% 1.07
Under 0.5 6.8% 14.72
Over 1.5 77.2% 1.30
Under 1.5 22.8% 4.38
Over 2.5 52.6% 1.90
Under 2.5 47.4% 2.11
Over 3.5 30.4% 3.29
Under 3.5 69.6% 1.44
Over 4.5 15.0% 6.69
Under 4.5 85.1% 1.18

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 48.9% 2.04
No 51.1% 1.96

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Borussia Mönchengladbach / Draw 85.4% 1.17
Borussia Mönchengladbach / Hamburger SV 77.7% 1.29
Draw / Hamburger SV 36.8% 2.71

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
6.8
4.5
2.1
0.6
0.1
0.0
1
11.5
10.6
4.2
1.1
0.2
0.0
2
11.8
9.8
4.1
1.1
0.2
0.0
3
7.7
6.4
2.6
0.7
0.2
0.0
4
3.8
3.1
1.3
0.4
0.1
0.0
5
1.5
1.2
0.5
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Borussia Mönchengladbach goals. Columns: Hamburger SV goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.