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Saturday 24 September 2016, 16:30 Volksparkstadion Full time
Hamburger SV
0–1
HT 0–0
Bayern München
3% 10% 88%
Home win
2.6%
Draw
9.7%
Away win
87.7%

Provisional One or both sides have too little top-flight history for the model to have a settled opinion. These numbers will move as matches are played.

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Hamburger SV 2.6% 39.18 — —
Draw 9.7% 10.28 — —
Bayern München 87.7% 1.14 — —

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 95.9% 1.04 — —
Under 0.5 4.1% 24.64 — —
Over 1.5 84.0% 1.19 — —
Under 1.5 16.0% 6.24 — —
Over 2.5 63.4% 1.58 — —
Under 2.5 36.6% 2.73 — —
Over 3.5 41.2% 2.43 — —
Under 3.5 58.8% 1.70 — —
Over 4.5 23.1% 4.32 — —
Under 4.5 76.9% 1.30 — —

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 29.9% 3.35 — —
No 70.1% 1.43 — —

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Hamburger SV / Draw 12.3% 8.14 — —
Hamburger SV / Bayern München 90.3% 1.11 — —
Draw / Bayern München 97.4% 1.03 — —

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
4.1
10.8
15.9
15.3
11.1
6.4
1
1.2
4.4
6.0
5.8
4.2
2.4
2
0.3
0.8
1.1
1.1
0.8
0.5
3
0.0
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.1
4
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
5
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Hamburger SV goals. Columns: Bayern München goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Hamburger SV
D L L L
Bayern München
W W W W

Head to head

Jan 2026 Hamburger SV 2-2 Bayern München Sep 2025 Bayern München 5-0 Hamburger SV Mar 2018 Bayern München 6-0 Hamburger SV Oct 2017 Hamburger SV 0-1 Bayern München Feb 2017 Bayern München 8-0 Hamburger SV

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.