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Wednesday 21 September 2016, 21:00 Allianz Arena Full time
Bayern München
3–0
HT 1–0
Hertha Berlin
47% 24% 29%
Home win
46.9%
Draw
24.4%
Away win
28.7%

Provisional One or both sides have too little top-flight history for the model to have a settled opinion. These numbers will move as matches are played.

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Bayern München 46.9% 2.13 — —
Draw 24.4% 4.09 — —
Hertha Berlin 28.7% 3.48 — —

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 95.0% 1.05 — —
Under 0.5 5.0% 20.00 — —
Over 1.5 82.6% 1.21 — —
Under 1.5 17.4% 5.74 — —
Over 2.5 60.5% 1.65 — —
Under 2.5 39.5% 2.53 — —
Over 3.5 38.2% 2.62 — —
Under 3.5 61.8% 1.62 — —
Over 4.5 20.7% 4.83 — —
Under 4.5 79.3% 1.26 — —

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 62.2% 1.61 — —
No 37.8% 2.65 — —

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Bayern München / Draw 71.3% 1.40 — —
Bayern München / Hertha Berlin 75.6% 1.32 — —
Draw / Hertha Berlin 53.1% 1.88 — —

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
5.0
5.3
4.0
1.8
0.6
0.2
1
7.1
11.1
7.1
3.2
1.1
0.3
2
6.9
9.3
6.3
2.9
1.0
0.3
3
4.1
5.5
3.7
1.7
0.6
0.2
4
1.8
2.5
1.7
0.8
0.3
0.1
5
0.6
0.9
0.6
0.3
0.1
0.0
Rows: Bayern München goals. Columns: Hertha Berlin goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Bayern München
W W W
Hertha Berlin
W W W

Head to head

Apr 2023 Bayern München 2-0 Hertha Berlin Nov 2022 Hertha Berlin 2-3 Bayern München Jan 2022 Hertha Berlin 1-4 Bayern München Aug 2021 Bayern München 5-0 Hertha Berlin Feb 2021 Hertha Berlin 0-1 Bayern München Oct 2020 Bayern München 4-3 Hertha Berlin

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.