Saturday 25 February 2017, 16:30
Allianz Arena
Full time
84%
12%
4%
Home win
83.9%
Draw
11.8%
Away win
4.4%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bayern München | 83.9% | 1.19 | — | — |
| Draw | 11.8% | 8.49 | — | — |
| Hamburger SV | 4.4% | 22.91 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 96.2% | 1.04 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 3.8% | 26.45 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 85.2% | 1.17 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 14.8% | 6.76 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 65.3% | 1.53 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 34.7% | 2.88 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 43.3% | 2.31 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 56.7% | 1.76 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 24.9% | 4.02 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 75.1% | 1.33 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 39.6% | 2.53 | — | — |
| No | 60.4% | 1.66 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bayern München / Draw | 95.6% | 1.05 | — | — |
| Bayern München / Hamburger SV | 88.2% | 1.13 | — | — |
| Draw / Hamburger SV | 16.1% | 6.20 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
3.8
|
1.6
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
9.5
|
5.6
|
1.4
|
0.3
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
13.8
|
7.5
|
2.0
|
0.4
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
13.0
|
7.0
|
1.9
|
0.3
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
9.2
|
5.0
|
1.3
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
5.2
|
2.8
|
0.8
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Jan 2026
Hamburger SV
2-2
Bayern München
Sep 2025
Bayern München
5-0
Hamburger SV
Mar 2018
Bayern München
6-0
Hamburger SV
Oct 2017
Hamburger SV
0-1
Bayern München
Sep 2016
Hamburger SV
0-1
Bayern München
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.