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Friday 20 January 2017, 21:30 Schwarzwald-Stadion Full time
15% 21% 64%
Home win
14.7%
Draw
21.4%
Away win
63.9%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
SC Freiburg 14.7% 6.82
Draw 21.4% 4.67
Bayern München 63.9% 1.56

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 94.1% 1.06
Under 0.5 5.9% 16.98
Over 1.5 79.7% 1.26
Under 1.5 20.3% 4.92
Over 2.5 56.2% 1.78
Under 2.5 43.8% 2.28
Over 3.5 33.8% 2.96
Under 3.5 66.2% 1.51
Over 4.5 17.4% 5.75
Under 4.5 82.6% 1.21

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 51.7% 1.93
No 48.3% 2.07

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
SC Freiburg / Draw 36.1% 2.77
SC Freiburg / Bayern München 78.6% 1.27
Draw / Bayern München 85.3% 1.17

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
5.9
10.3
11.2
7.7
3.9
1.6
1
4.1
10.2
9.9
6.8
3.5
1.4
2
2.1
4.2
4.4
3.0
1.5
0.6
3
0.6
1.3
1.3
0.9
0.4
0.2
4
0.1
0.3
0.3
0.2
0.1
0.0
5
0.0
0.0
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: SC Freiburg goals. Columns: Bayern München goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.