Saturday 3 December 2016, 16:30
BayArena
Full time
55%
21%
24%
Home win
54.9%
Draw
21.3%
Away win
23.8%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bayer Leverkusen | 54.9% | 1.82 | — | — |
| Draw | 21.3% | 4.70 | — | — |
| SC Freiburg | 23.8% | 4.19 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 96.9% | 1.03 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 3.1% | 31.85 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 88.3% | 1.13 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 11.7% | 8.52 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 70.3% | 1.42 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 29.7% | 3.37 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 49.2% | 2.03 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 50.8% | 1.97 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 30.0% | 3.33 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 70.0% | 1.43 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 68.1% | 1.47 | — | — |
| No | 31.9% | 3.13 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bayer Leverkusen / Draw | 76.2% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Bayer Leverkusen / SC Freiburg | 78.7% | 1.27 | — | — |
| Draw / SC Freiburg | 45.1% | 2.22 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
3.1
|
3.3
|
2.7
|
1.3
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
5.3
|
8.8
|
5.9
|
2.8
|
1.0
|
0.3
|
| 2 |
6.4
|
9.2
|
6.5
|
3.1
|
1.1
|
0.3
|
| 3 |
4.8
|
6.8
|
4.8
|
2.3
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
| 4 |
2.6
|
3.7
|
2.7
|
1.3
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 5 |
1.2
|
1.7
|
1.2
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
Form
Head to head
Mar 2026
SC Freiburg
3-3
Bayer Leverkusen
Oct 2025
Bayer Leverkusen
2-0
SC Freiburg
May 2025
SC Freiburg
2-2
Bayer Leverkusen
Dec 2024
Bayer Leverkusen
5-1
SC Freiburg
Mar 2024
SC Freiburg
2-3
Bayer Leverkusen
Oct 2023
Bayer Leverkusen
2-1
SC Freiburg
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.