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Saturday 5 November 2016, 16:30 Schwarzwald-Stadion Full time
61% 25% 14%
Home win
60.8%
Draw
24.8%
Away win
14.3%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
SC Freiburg 60.8% 1.64
Draw 24.8% 4.03
VfL Wolfsburg 14.3% 6.97

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 90.3% 1.11
Under 0.5 9.7% 10.28
Over 1.5 69.8% 1.43
Under 1.5 30.2% 3.31
Over 2.5 43.0% 2.33
Under 2.5 57.0% 1.75
Over 3.5 22.1% 4.52
Under 3.5 77.9% 1.28
Over 4.5 9.6% 10.45
Under 4.5 90.4% 1.11

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 41.7% 2.40
No 58.3% 1.72

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
SC Freiburg / Draw 85.7% 1.17
SC Freiburg / VfL Wolfsburg 75.2% 1.33
Draw / VfL Wolfsburg 39.2% 2.55

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
9.7
5.7
2.2
0.5
0.1
0.0
1
14.8
11.4
3.8
0.9
0.2
0.0
2
13.1
9.2
3.2
0.7
0.1
0.0
3
7.4
5.2
1.8
0.4
0.1
0.0
4
3.2
2.2
0.8
0.2
0.0
0.0
5
1.1
0.8
0.3
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: SC Freiburg goals. Columns: VfL Wolfsburg goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.