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Sunday 2 October 2016, 16:30 Volkswagen Arena Full time
VfL Wolfsburg
0–0
HT 0–0
FSV Mainz 05
34% 28% 37%
Home win
34.4%
Draw
28.3%
Away win
37.3%

Provisional One or both sides have too little top-flight history for the model to have a settled opinion. These numbers will move as matches are played.

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
VfL Wolfsburg 34.4% 2.90 — —
Draw 28.3% 3.54 — —
FSV Mainz 05 37.3% 2.68 — —

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 91.4% 1.09 — —
Under 0.5 8.6% 11.58 — —
Over 1.5 72.9% 1.37 — —
Under 1.5 27.1% 3.69 — —
Over 2.5 46.7% 2.14 — —
Under 2.5 53.3% 1.88 — —
Over 3.5 25.1% 3.98 — —
Under 3.5 74.9% 1.34 — —
Over 4.5 11.4% 8.74 — —
Under 4.5 88.6% 1.13 — —

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 52.5% 1.91 — —
No 47.5% 2.10 — —

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
VfL Wolfsburg / Draw 62.7% 1.60 — —
VfL Wolfsburg / FSV Mainz 05 71.7% 1.39 — —
Draw / FSV Mainz 05 65.6% 1.53 — —

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
8.6
9.5
6.7
2.9
0.9
0.2
1
9.0
13.5
8.3
3.6
1.2
0.3
2
6.1
7.9
5.1
2.2
0.7
0.2
3
2.5
3.3
2.1
0.9
0.3
0.1
4
0.8
1.0
0.7
0.3
0.1
0.0
5
0.2
0.3
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: VfL Wolfsburg goals. Columns: FSV Mainz 05 goals. Values are percentages.

Form

VfL Wolfsburg
W D D L L
FSV Mainz 05
L D W W L

Head to head

Jan 2026 FSV Mainz 05 3-1 VfL Wolfsburg Aug 2025 VfL Wolfsburg 1-1 FSV Mainz 05 Apr 2025 FSV Mainz 05 2-2 VfL Wolfsburg Dec 2024 VfL Wolfsburg 4-3 FSV Mainz 05 May 2024 VfL Wolfsburg 1-3 FSV Mainz 05 Jan 2024 FSV Mainz 05 1-1 VfL Wolfsburg

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.