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Saturday 29 October 2016, 16:30 Weser-Stadion Full time
29% 23% 48%
Home win
28.7%
Draw
23.4%
Away win
47.9%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Werder Bremen 28.7% 3.48
Draw 23.4% 4.28
SC Freiburg 47.9% 2.09

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 95.9% 1.04
Under 0.5 4.1% 24.56
Over 1.5 85.4% 1.17
Under 1.5 14.6% 6.83
Over 2.5 65.1% 1.54
Under 2.5 34.9% 2.87
Over 3.5 43.2% 2.32
Under 3.5 56.8% 1.76
Over 4.5 24.7% 4.04
Under 4.5 75.3% 1.33

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 65.7% 1.52
No 34.3% 2.91

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Werder Bremen / Draw 52.1% 1.92
Werder Bremen / SC Freiburg 76.6% 1.31
Draw / SC Freiburg 71.3% 1.40

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
4.1
6.1
6.4
4.0
1.9
0.7
1
4.5
10.2
9.2
5.9
2.8
1.1
2
3.7
7.0
6.7
4.2
2.0
0.8
3
1.8
3.4
3.2
2.0
1.0
0.4
4
0.6
1.2
1.2
0.7
0.4
0.1
5
0.2
0.4
0.3
0.2
0.1
0.0
Rows: Werder Bremen goals. Columns: SC Freiburg goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.