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Saturday 15 October 2016, 19:30 Weser-Stadion Full time
Werder Bremen
2–1
HT 1–1
Bayer Leverkusen
21% 21% 59%
Home win
20.9%
Draw
20.5%
Away win
58.5%

Provisional One or both sides have too little top-flight history for the model to have a settled opinion. These numbers will move as matches are played.

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Werder Bremen 20.9% 4.78 — —
Draw 20.5% 4.87 — —
Bayer Leverkusen 58.5% 1.71 — —

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 96.9% 1.03 — —
Under 0.5 3.1% 31.95 — —
Over 1.5 88.2% 1.13 — —
Under 1.5 11.8% 8.50 — —
Over 2.5 70.3% 1.42 — —
Under 2.5 29.7% 3.37 — —
Over 3.5 49.2% 2.03 — —
Under 3.5 50.8% 1.97 — —
Over 4.5 30.0% 3.33 — —
Under 4.5 70.0% 1.43 — —

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 66.8% 1.50 — —
No 33.2% 3.01 — —

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Werder Bremen / Draw 41.5% 2.41 — —
Werder Bremen / Bayer Leverkusen 79.5% 1.26 — —
Draw / Bayer Leverkusen 79.1% 1.26 — —

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
3.1
5.6
7.0
5.3
3.1
1.4
1
3.0
8.6
9.3
7.1
4.1
1.9
2
2.4
5.4
6.2
4.8
2.7
1.3
3
1.0
2.4
2.8
2.1
1.2
0.6
4
0.4
0.8
0.9
0.7
0.4
0.2
5
0.1
0.2
0.2
0.2
0.1
0.1
Rows: Werder Bremen goals. Columns: Bayer Leverkusen goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Werder Bremen
L L L W D
Bayer Leverkusen
W L D W W

Head to head

Jan 2026 Bayer Leverkusen 1-0 Werder Bremen Aug 2025 Werder Bremen 3-3 Bayer Leverkusen Mar 2025 Bayer Leverkusen 0-2 Werder Bremen Oct 2024 Werder Bremen 2-2 Bayer Leverkusen Apr 2024 Bayer Leverkusen 5-0 Werder Bremen Nov 2023 Werder Bremen 0-3 Bayer Leverkusen

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.