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Wednesday 21 September 2016, 21:00 BayArena Full time
97% 2% 1%
Home win
97.3%
Draw
2.0%
Away win
0.8%

Provisional One or both sides have too little top-flight history for the model to have a settled opinion. These numbers will move as matches are played.

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Bayer Leverkusen 97.3% 1.03
Draw 2.0% 50.00
FC Augsburg 0.8% 133.33

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 99.8% 1.00
Under 0.5 0.2% 561.80
Over 1.5 99.0% 1.01
Under 1.5 1.0% 97.18
Over 2.5 95.9% 1.04
Under 2.5 4.1% 24.23
Over 3.5 89.1% 1.12
Under 3.5 10.9% 9.20
Over 4.5 78.0% 1.28
Under 4.5 22.0% 4.55

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 53.3% 1.88
No 46.7% 2.14

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Bayer Leverkusen / Draw 99.3% 1.01
Bayer Leverkusen / FC Augsburg 98.0% 1.02
Draw / FC Augsburg 2.8% 36.36

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
1
0.8
0.7
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
2
2.4
1.8
0.7
0.2
0.0
0.0
3
4.7
3.6
1.4
0.3
0.1
0.0
4
6.8
5.2
2.0
0.5
0.1
0.0
5
8.0
6.1
2.3
0.6
0.1
0.0
Rows: Bayer Leverkusen goals. Columns: FC Augsburg goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.