Skip to content
Σ SigmaGoal
ΕΛ EN
Sign in
Saturday 17 September 2016, 16:30 Commerzbank-Arena Full time
Eintracht Frankfurt
2–1
HT 0–0
Bayer Leverkusen
47% 35% 18%
Home win
46.8%
Draw
34.7%
Away win
18.4%

Provisional One or both sides have too little top-flight history for the model to have a settled opinion. These numbers will move as matches are played.

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Eintracht Frankfurt 46.8% 2.14 — —
Draw 34.7% 2.88 — —
Bayer Leverkusen 18.4% 5.43 — —

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 79.5% 1.26 — —
Under 0.5 20.5% 4.89 — —
Over 1.5 48.9% 2.04 — —
Under 1.5 51.1% 1.96 — —
Over 2.5 22.2% 4.50 — —
Under 2.5 77.8% 1.29 — —
Over 3.5 8.2% 12.22 — —
Under 3.5 91.8% 1.09 — —
Over 4.5 2.5% 40.14 — —
Under 4.5 97.5% 1.03 — —

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 28.7% 3.48 — —
No 71.3% 1.40 — —

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Eintracht Frankfurt / Draw 81.6% 1.23 — —
Eintracht Frankfurt / Bayer Leverkusen 65.3% 1.53 — —
Draw / Bayer Leverkusen 53.2% 1.88 — —

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
20.5
10.3
3.1
0.6
0.1
0.0
1
20.3
12.4
3.3
0.6
0.1
0.0
2
11.2
6.2
1.7
0.3
0.0
0.0
3
4.0
2.2
0.6
0.1
0.0
0.0
4
1.1
0.6
0.2
0.0
0.0
0.0
5
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Eintracht Frankfurt goals. Columns: Bayer Leverkusen goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Eintracht Frankfurt
W L
Bayer Leverkusen
L W

Head to head

Jan 2026 Eintracht Frankfurt 1-3 Bayer Leverkusen Sep 2025 Bayer Leverkusen 3-1 Eintracht Frankfurt Mar 2025 Eintracht Frankfurt 1-4 Bayer Leverkusen Oct 2024 Bayer Leverkusen 2-1 Eintracht Frankfurt May 2024 Eintracht Frankfurt 1-5 Bayer Leverkusen Dec 2023 Bayer Leverkusen 3-0 Eintracht Frankfurt

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.