Sunday 23 October 2016, 16:30
Red Bull Arena
Full time
84%
11%
5%
Home win
83.9%
Draw
10.7%
Away win
5.3%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| RB Leipzig | 83.9% | 1.19 | — | — |
| Draw | 10.7% | 9.33 | — | — |
| Werder Bremen | 5.3% | 18.71 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 97.9% | 1.02 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 2.1% | 48.40 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 91.3% | 1.10 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 8.7% | 11.45 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 76.5% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 23.5% | 4.25 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 57.0% | 1.75 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 43.0% | 2.33 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 37.5% | 2.67 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 62.5% | 1.60 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 52.4% | 1.91 | — | — |
| No | 47.6% | 2.10 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| RB Leipzig / Draw | 94.7% | 1.06 | — | — |
| RB Leipzig / Werder Bremen | 89.3% | 1.12 | — | — |
| Draw / Werder Bremen | 16.1% | 6.22 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
2.1
|
1.1
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
5.5
|
4.8
|
1.8
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
9.4
|
7.4
|
2.9
|
0.8
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
10.2
|
7.9
|
3.1
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
8.2
|
6.4
|
2.5
|
0.7
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
5.3
|
4.2
|
1.6
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Apr 2026
Werder Bremen
1-2
RB Leipzig
Nov 2025
RB Leipzig
2-0
Werder Bremen
May 2025
Werder Bremen
0-0
RB Leipzig
Jan 2025
RB Leipzig
4-2
Werder Bremen
May 2024
RB Leipzig
1-1
Werder Bremen
Dec 2023
Werder Bremen
1-1
RB Leipzig
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.