Friday 30 September 2016, 21:30
Red Bull Arena
Full time
66%
24%
10%
Home win
66.0%
Draw
23.5%
Away win
10.4%
Provisional One or both sides have too little top-flight history for the model to have a settled opinion. These numbers will move as matches are played.
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| RB Leipzig | 66.0% | 1.51 | — | — |
| Draw | 23.5% | 4.25 | — | — |
| FC Augsburg | 10.4% | 9.57 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 89.2% | 1.12 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 10.8% | 9.26 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 67.1% | 1.49 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 32.9% | 3.04 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 39.9% | 2.51 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 60.1% | 1.66 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 19.7% | 5.08 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 80.3% | 1.25 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 8.2% | 12.26 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 91.8% | 1.09 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 35.1% | 2.85 | — | — |
| No | 64.9% | 1.54 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| RB Leipzig / Draw | 89.6% | 1.12 | — | — |
| RB Leipzig / FC Augsburg | 76.5% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Draw / FC Augsburg | 34.0% | 2.94 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
10.8
|
5.0
|
1.5
|
0.3
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
17.2
|
10.2
|
2.6
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
15.4
|
8.4
|
2.3
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
9.0
|
4.9
|
1.3
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
3.9
|
2.1
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
1.4
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Mar 2026
RB Leipzig
2-1
FC Augsburg
Oct 2025
FC Augsburg
0-6
RB Leipzig
Feb 2025
FC Augsburg
0-0
RB Leipzig
Sep 2024
RB Leipzig
4-0
FC Augsburg
Feb 2024
FC Augsburg
2-2
RB Leipzig
Sep 2023
RB Leipzig
3-0
FC Augsburg
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.