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Friday 30 September 2016, 21:30 Red Bull Arena Full time
66% 24% 10%
Home win
66.0%
Draw
23.5%
Away win
10.4%

Provisional One or both sides have too little top-flight history for the model to have a settled opinion. These numbers will move as matches are played.

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
RB Leipzig 66.0% 1.51
Draw 23.5% 4.25
FC Augsburg 10.4% 9.57

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 89.2% 1.12
Under 0.5 10.8% 9.26
Over 1.5 67.1% 1.49
Under 1.5 32.9% 3.04
Over 2.5 39.9% 2.51
Under 2.5 60.1% 1.66
Over 3.5 19.7% 5.08
Under 3.5 80.3% 1.25
Over 4.5 8.2% 12.26
Under 4.5 91.8% 1.09

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 35.1% 2.85
No 64.9% 1.54

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
RB Leipzig / Draw 89.6% 1.12
RB Leipzig / FC Augsburg 76.5% 1.31
Draw / FC Augsburg 34.0% 2.94

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
10.8
5.0
1.5
0.3
0.0
0.0
1
17.2
10.2
2.6
0.5
0.1
0.0
2
15.4
8.4
2.3
0.4
0.1
0.0
3
9.0
4.9
1.3
0.2
0.0
0.0
4
3.9
2.1
0.6
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
1.4
0.7
0.2
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: RB Leipzig goals. Columns: FC Augsburg goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.