Saturday 19 November 2016, 16:30
Opel Arena
Full time
49%
24%
27%
Home win
49.2%
Draw
23.5%
Away win
27.3%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FSV Mainz 05 | 49.2% | 2.03 | — | — |
| Draw | 23.5% | 4.25 | — | — |
| SC Freiburg | 27.3% | 3.67 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 95.6% | 1.05 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 4.4% | 22.72 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 84.3% | 1.19 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 15.7% | 6.39 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 63.4% | 1.58 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 36.6% | 2.73 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 41.3% | 2.42 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 58.7% | 1.70 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 23.2% | 4.32 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 76.8% | 1.30 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 64.0% | 1.56 | — | — |
| No | 36.0% | 2.78 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FSV Mainz 05 / Draw | 72.7% | 1.37 | — | — |
| FSV Mainz 05 / SC Freiburg | 76.5% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Draw / SC Freiburg | 50.8% | 1.97 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
4.4
|
4.6
|
3.6
|
1.6
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
| 1 |
6.6
|
10.5
|
6.8
|
3.1
|
1.1
|
0.3
|
| 2 |
6.8
|
9.4
|
6.4
|
2.9
|
1.0
|
0.3
|
| 3 |
4.3
|
5.9
|
4.1
|
1.9
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
| 4 |
2.1
|
2.8
|
1.9
|
0.9
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 5 |
0.8
|
1.1
|
0.7
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Apr 2026
FSV Mainz 05
0-1
SC Freiburg
Nov 2025
SC Freiburg
4-0
FSV Mainz 05
Mar 2025
FSV Mainz 05
2-2
SC Freiburg
Nov 2024
SC Freiburg
0-0
FSV Mainz 05
Apr 2024
SC Freiburg
1-1
FSV Mainz 05
Dec 2023
FSV Mainz 05
0-1
SC Freiburg
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.