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Sunday 16 October 2016, 16:30 Opel Arena Full time
67% 20% 13%
Home win
66.8%
Draw
20.2%
Away win
13.0%

Provisional One or both sides have too little top-flight history for the model to have a settled opinion. These numbers will move as matches are played.

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
FSV Mainz 05 66.8% 1.50
Draw 20.2% 4.96
SV Darmstadt 98 13.0% 7.68

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 94.5% 1.06
Under 0.5 5.5% 18.33
Over 1.5 80.8% 1.24
Under 1.5 19.2% 5.22
Over 2.5 58.0% 1.72
Under 2.5 42.0% 2.38
Over 3.5 35.6% 2.81
Under 3.5 64.4% 1.55
Over 4.5 18.7% 5.35
Under 4.5 81.3% 1.23

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 51.3% 1.95
No 48.7% 2.05

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
FSV Mainz 05 / Draw 87.0% 1.15
FSV Mainz 05 / SV Darmstadt 98 79.8% 1.25
Draw / SV Darmstadt 98 33.2% 3.01

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
5.5
3.6
1.8
0.5
0.1
0.0
1
10.1
9.6
3.9
1.1
0.2
0.0
2
11.5
9.8
4.2
1.2
0.3
0.0
3
8.3
7.0
3.0
0.9
0.2
0.0
4
4.5
3.8
1.6
0.5
0.1
0.0
5
1.9
1.6
0.7
0.2
0.0
0.0
Rows: FSV Mainz 05 goals. Columns: SV Darmstadt 98 goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.