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Saturday 11 March 2017, 16:30 Stadion am Böllenfalltor Full time
26% 27% 47%
Home win
25.7%
Draw
27.5%
Away win
46.8%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
SV Darmstadt 98 25.7% 3.89
Draw 27.5% 3.64
FSV Mainz 05 46.8% 2.14

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 91.3% 1.10
Under 0.5 8.7% 11.47
Over 1.5 72.6% 1.38
Under 1.5 27.4% 3.65
Over 2.5 46.4% 2.16
Under 2.5 53.6% 1.86
Over 3.5 24.9% 4.02
Under 3.5 75.1% 1.33
Over 4.5 11.3% 8.87
Under 4.5 88.7% 1.13

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 50.8% 1.97
No 49.2% 2.03

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
SV Darmstadt 98 / Draw 53.2% 1.88
SV Darmstadt 98 / FSV Mainz 05 72.5% 1.38
Draw / FSV Mainz 05 74.3% 1.35

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
8.7
11.1
8.8
4.4
1.6
0.5
1
7.6
13.1
9.2
4.6
1.7
0.5
2
4.3
6.4
4.8
2.4
0.9
0.3
3
1.5
2.2
1.7
0.8
0.3
0.1
4
0.4
0.6
0.4
0.2
0.1
0.0
5
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: SV Darmstadt 98 goals. Columns: FSV Mainz 05 goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.