Saturday 4 February 2017, 16:30
WIRSOL Rhein-Neckar-Arena
Full time
65%
20%
15%
Home win
65.4%
Draw
19.8%
Away win
14.8%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1899 Hoffenheim | 65.4% | 1.53 | — | — |
| Draw | 19.8% | 5.06 | — | — |
| FSV Mainz 05 | 14.8% | 6.74 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 95.7% | 1.04 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 4.3% | 23.35 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 84.4% | 1.18 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 15.6% | 6.41 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 63.6% | 1.57 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 36.4% | 2.75 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 41.5% | 2.41 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 58.5% | 1.71 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 23.4% | 4.28 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 76.6% | 1.30 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 57.4% | 1.74 | — | — |
| No | 42.6% | 2.35 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1899 Hoffenheim / Draw | 85.2% | 1.17 | — | — |
| 1899 Hoffenheim / FSV Mainz 05 | 80.2% | 1.25 | — | — |
| Draw / FSV Mainz 05 | 34.6% | 2.89 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
4.3
|
3.3
|
1.9
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
8.0
|
9.1
|
4.3
|
1.4
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
9.7
|
9.8
|
4.9
|
1.6
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
7.4
|
7.4
|
3.7
|
1.2
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
4.2
|
4.2
|
2.1
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
1.9
|
1.9
|
1.0
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Apr 2026
1899 Hoffenheim
1-2
FSV Mainz 05
Nov 2025
FSV Mainz 05
1-1
1899 Hoffenheim
Apr 2025
1899 Hoffenheim
2-0
FSV Mainz 05
Dec 2024
FSV Mainz 05
2-0
1899 Hoffenheim
Apr 2024
FSV Mainz 05
4-1
1899 Hoffenheim
Nov 2023
1899 Hoffenheim
1-1
FSV Mainz 05
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.