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Friday 9 December 2016, 21:30 Commerzbank-Arena Full time
41% 28% 30%
Home win
41.4%
Draw
28.4%
Away win
30.2%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Eintracht Frankfurt 41.4% 2.42
Draw 28.4% 3.52
1899 Hoffenheim 30.2% 3.31

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 90.9% 1.10
Under 0.5 9.1% 10.99
Over 1.5 71.7% 1.39
Under 1.5 28.3% 3.54
Over 2.5 45.2% 2.21
Under 2.5 54.8% 1.83
Over 3.5 23.9% 4.18
Under 3.5 76.1% 1.31
Over 4.5 10.7% 9.36
Under 4.5 89.3% 1.12

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 51.0% 1.96
No 49.0% 2.04

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Eintracht Frankfurt / Draw 69.8% 1.43
Eintracht Frankfurt / 1899 Hoffenheim 71.6% 1.40
Draw / 1899 Hoffenheim 58.6% 1.71

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
9.1
8.6
5.3
2.0
0.6
0.1
1
10.6
13.5
7.2
2.7
0.8
0.2
2
7.7
8.7
4.9
1.8
0.5
0.1
3
3.5
3.9
2.2
0.8
0.2
0.1
4
1.2
1.3
0.8
0.3
0.1
0.0
5
0.3
0.4
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Eintracht Frankfurt goals. Columns: 1899 Hoffenheim goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.