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Saturday 3 December 2016, 16:30 WIRSOL Rhein-Neckar-Arena Full time
35% 30% 36%
Home win
34.8%
Draw
29.6%
Away win
35.7%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
1899 Hoffenheim 34.8% 2.88
Draw 29.6% 3.38
1. FC Köln 35.7% 2.80

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 89.7% 1.11
Under 0.5 10.3% 9.72
Over 1.5 68.9% 1.45
Under 1.5 31.1% 3.22
Over 2.5 41.8% 2.39
Under 2.5 58.2% 1.72
Over 3.5 21.2% 4.72
Under 3.5 78.8% 1.27
Over 4.5 9.0% 11.08
Under 4.5 91.0% 1.10

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 48.7% 2.06
No 51.4% 1.95

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
1899 Hoffenheim / Draw 64.3% 1.55
1899 Hoffenheim / 1. FC Köln 70.4% 1.42
Draw / 1. FC Köln 65.2% 1.53

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
10.3
10.5
6.7
2.6
0.8
0.2
1
10.3
13.9
7.8
3.1
0.9
0.2
2
6.5
7.7
4.6
1.8
0.5
0.1
3
2.5
3.0
1.8
0.7
0.2
0.0
4
0.7
0.9
0.5
0.2
0.1
0.0
5
0.2
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: 1899 Hoffenheim goals. Columns: 1. FC Köln goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.