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Saturday 19 November 2016, 16:30 Borussia-Park Full time
21% 29% 51%
Home win
20.6%
Draw
28.6%
Away win
50.8%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Borussia Mönchengladbach 20.6% 4.85
Draw 28.6% 3.49
1. FC Köln 50.8% 1.97

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 88.5% 1.13
Under 0.5 11.5% 8.71
Over 1.5 66.0% 1.51
Under 1.5 34.0% 2.94
Over 2.5 38.6% 2.59
Under 2.5 61.4% 1.63
Over 3.5 18.7% 5.35
Under 3.5 81.3% 1.23
Over 4.5 7.6% 13.18
Under 4.5 92.4% 1.08

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 42.8% 2.34
No 57.2% 1.75

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Borussia Mönchengladbach / Draw 49.2% 2.03
Borussia Mönchengladbach / 1. FC Köln 71.4% 1.40
Draw / 1. FC Köln 79.4% 1.26

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
11.5
14.5
10.9
5.2
1.8
0.5
1
7.9
13.1
8.8
4.2
1.5
0.4
2
3.5
5.0
3.6
1.7
0.6
0.2
3
0.9
1.3
1.0
0.5
0.2
0.0
4
0.2
0.3
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Borussia Mönchengladbach goals. Columns: 1. FC Köln goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.