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Saturday 22 October 2016, 19:30 Allianz Arena Full time
79% 14% 7%
Home win
78.5%
Draw
14.4%
Away win
7.1%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Bayern München 78.5% 1.27
Draw 14.4% 6.96
Borussia Mönchengladbach 7.1% 14.08

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 96.3% 1.04
Under 0.5 3.7% 26.67
Over 1.5 85.6% 1.17
Under 1.5 14.4% 6.95
Over 2.5 65.9% 1.52
Under 2.5 34.1% 2.93
Over 3.5 44.0% 2.27
Under 3.5 56.0% 1.79
Over 4.5 25.4% 3.93
Under 4.5 74.6% 1.34

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 47.9% 2.09
No 52.1% 1.92

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Bayern München / Draw 92.9% 1.08
Bayern München / Borussia Mönchengladbach 85.6% 1.17
Draw / Borussia Mönchengladbach 21.5% 4.66

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
3.8
2.0
0.9
0.2
0.0
0.0
1
8.6
6.8
2.3
0.5
0.1
0.0
2
12.1
8.6
3.1
0.7
0.1
0.0
3
10.8
7.7
2.7
0.7
0.1
0.0
4
7.2
5.1
1.8
0.4
0.1
0.0
5
3.9
2.8
1.0
0.2
0.0
0.0
Rows: Bayern München goals. Columns: Borussia Mönchengladbach goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.