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Saturday 22 October 2016, 16:30 Olympiastadion Full time
40% 28% 32%
Home win
39.8%
Draw
28.0%
Away win
32.2%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Hertha Berlin 39.8% 2.51
Draw 28.0% 3.57
1. FC Köln 32.2% 3.10

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 91.6% 1.09
Under 0.5 8.4% 11.87
Over 1.5 73.4% 1.36
Under 1.5 26.6% 3.76
Over 2.5 47.3% 2.11
Under 2.5 52.7% 1.90
Over 3.5 25.7% 3.89
Under 3.5 74.3% 1.35
Over 4.5 11.8% 8.47
Under 4.5 88.2% 1.13

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 52.9% 1.89
No 47.1% 2.12

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Hertha Berlin / Draw 67.8% 1.48
Hertha Berlin / 1. FC Köln 72.0% 1.39
Draw / 1. FC Köln 60.2% 1.66

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
8.4
8.5
5.6
2.2
0.7
0.2
1
9.7
13.4
7.6
3.0
0.9
0.2
2
7.1
8.6
5.2
2.1
0.6
0.2
3
3.2
3.9
2.4
0.9
0.3
0.1
4
1.1
1.3
0.8
0.3
0.1
0.0
5
0.3
0.4
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Hertha Berlin goals. Columns: 1. FC Köln goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.