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Friday 14 October 2016, 21:30 Signal Iduna Park Full time
Borussia Dortmund
1–1
HT 0–0
Hertha Berlin
74% 14% 12%
Home win
73.5%
Draw
14.3%
Away win
12.2%

Provisional One or both sides have too little top-flight history for the model to have a settled opinion. These numbers will move as matches are played.

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Borussia Dortmund 73.5% 1.36 — —
Draw 14.3% 6.99 — —
Hertha Berlin 12.2% 8.21 — —

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 98.6% 1.01 — —
Under 0.5 1.4% 70.67 — —
Over 1.5 94.1% 1.06 — —
Under 1.5 5.9% 16.89 — —
Over 2.5 82.4% 1.21 — —
Under 2.5 17.6% 5.69 — —
Over 3.5 65.4% 1.53 — —
Under 3.5 34.6% 2.89 — —
Over 4.5 46.4% 2.15 — —
Under 4.5 53.6% 1.87 — —

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 70.4% 1.42 — —
No 29.6% 3.37 — —

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Borussia Dortmund / Draw 87.8% 1.14 — —
Borussia Dortmund / Hertha Berlin 85.7% 1.17 — —
Draw / Hertha Berlin 26.5% 3.78 — —

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
1.4
1.2
1.0
0.4
0.1
0.0
1
3.3
5.0
3.1
1.4
0.4
0.1
2
5.7
7.5
4.9
2.2
0.7
0.2
3
6.0
7.9
5.2
2.3
0.7
0.2
4
4.7
6.2
4.1
1.8
0.6
0.2
5
3.0
3.9
2.6
1.1
0.4
0.1
Rows: Borussia Dortmund goals. Columns: Hertha Berlin goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Borussia Dortmund
L W W W L
Hertha Berlin
W W L D W

Head to head

Feb 2023 Borussia Dortmund 4-1 Hertha Berlin Aug 2022 Hertha Berlin 0-1 Borussia Dortmund May 2022 Borussia Dortmund 2-1 Hertha Berlin Dec 2021 Hertha Berlin 3-2 Borussia Dortmund Mar 2021 Borussia Dortmund 2-0 Hertha Berlin Nov 2020 Hertha Berlin 2-5 Borussia Dortmund

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.