Skip to content
Σ SigmaGoal
ΕΛ EN
Sign in
Saturday 1 October 2016, 16:30 Olympiastadion Full time
Hertha Berlin
2–0
HT 1–0
Hamburger SV
67% 20% 13%
Home win
66.7%
Draw
20.3%
Away win
13.0%

Provisional One or both sides have too little top-flight history for the model to have a settled opinion. These numbers will move as matches are played.

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Hertha Berlin 66.7% 1.50 — —
Draw 20.3% 4.93 — —
Hamburger SV 13.0% 7.70 — —

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 94.4% 1.06 — —
Under 0.5 5.6% 17.95 — —
Over 1.5 80.5% 1.24 — —
Under 1.5 19.5% 5.13 — —
Over 2.5 57.5% 1.74 — —
Under 2.5 42.5% 2.35 — —
Over 3.5 35.1% 2.85 — —
Under 3.5 64.9% 1.54 — —
Over 4.5 18.3% 5.46 — —
Under 4.5 81.7% 1.22 — —

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 50.9% 1.97 — —
No 49.1% 2.04 — —

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Hertha Berlin / Draw 87.0% 1.15 — —
Hertha Berlin / Hamburger SV 79.7% 1.25 — —
Draw / Hamburger SV 33.3% 3.01 — —

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
5.6
3.7
1.8
0.5
0.1
0.0
1
10.2
9.6
3.8
1.1
0.2
0.0
2
11.6
9.8
4.1
1.2
0.2
0.0
3
8.3
7.0
2.9
0.8
0.2
0.0
4
4.5
3.8
1.6
0.4
0.1
0.0
5
1.9
1.6
0.7
0.2
0.0
0.0
Rows: Hertha Berlin goals. Columns: Hamburger SV goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Hertha Berlin
W W W L D
Hamburger SV
D L L L L

Head to head

May 2022 Hamburger SV 0-2 Hertha Berlin May 2022 Hertha Berlin 0-1 Hamburger SV Mar 2018 Hamburger SV 1-2 Hertha Berlin Oct 2017 Hertha Berlin 2-1 Hamburger SV Mar 2017 Hamburger SV 1-0 Hertha Berlin

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.