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Saturday 28 October 2017, 16:30 Olympiastadion Full time
Hertha Berlin
2–1
HT 1–0
Hamburger SV
57% 26% 17%
Home win
57.0%
Draw
26.1%
Away win
17.0%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Hertha Berlin 57.0% 1.75 — —
Draw 26.1% 3.84 — —
Hamburger SV 17.0% 5.90 — —

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 90.1% 1.11 — —
Under 0.5 9.9% 10.14 — —
Over 1.5 69.6% 1.44 — —
Under 1.5 30.4% 3.29 — —
Over 2.5 42.7% 2.34 — —
Under 2.5 57.3% 1.75 — —
Over 3.5 21.9% 4.57 — —
Under 3.5 78.1% 1.28 — —
Over 4.5 9.4% 10.59 — —
Under 4.5 90.6% 1.10 — —

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 43.7% 2.29 — —
No 56.3% 1.78 — —

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Hertha Berlin / Draw 83.0% 1.20 — —
Hertha Berlin / Hamburger SV 73.9% 1.35 — —
Draw / Hamburger SV 43.0% 2.32 — —

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
9.9
6.4
2.7
0.7
0.1
0.0
1
14.2
12.1
4.4
1.1
0.2
0.0
2
12.0
9.3
3.6
0.9
0.2
0.0
3
6.5
5.0
1.9
0.5
0.1
0.0
4
2.6
2.0
0.8
0.2
0.0
0.0
5
0.9
0.7
0.3
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Hertha Berlin goals. Columns: Hamburger SV goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Hertha Berlin
W L D L D
Hamburger SV
L L D L L

Head to head

May 2022 Hamburger SV 0-2 Hertha Berlin May 2022 Hertha Berlin 0-1 Hamburger SV Mar 2018 Hamburger SV 1-2 Hertha Berlin Mar 2017 Hamburger SV 1-0 Hertha Berlin Oct 2016 Hertha Berlin 2-0 Hamburger SV

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.