Saturday 17 March 2018, 16:30
Volksparkstadion
Full time
27%
31%
42%
Home win
27.0%
Draw
31.4%
Away win
41.6%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hamburger SV | 27.0% | 3.70 | — | — |
| Draw | 31.4% | 3.19 | — | — |
| Hertha Berlin | 41.6% | 2.40 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 86.6% | 1.15 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 13.4% | 7.47 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 62.1% | 1.61 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 37.9% | 2.64 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 34.3% | 2.92 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 65.7% | 1.52 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 15.6% | 6.41 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 84.4% | 1.18 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 5.9% | 16.85 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 94.1% | 1.06 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 41.7% | 2.40 | — | — |
| No | 58.3% | 1.71 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hamburger SV / Draw | 58.4% | 1.71 | — | — |
| Hamburger SV / Hertha Berlin | 68.6% | 1.46 | — | — |
| Draw / Hertha Berlin | 73.0% | 1.37 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
13.4
|
14.0
|
8.7
|
3.4
|
1.0
|
0.2
|
| 1 |
10.5
|
14.1
|
7.8
|
3.1
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
| 2 |
5.0
|
5.9
|
3.5
|
1.4
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
1.5
|
1.8
|
1.0
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
0.3
|
0.4
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
May 2022
Hamburger SV
0-2
Hertha Berlin
May 2022
Hertha Berlin
0-1
Hamburger SV
Oct 2017
Hertha Berlin
2-1
Hamburger SV
Mar 2017
Hamburger SV
1-0
Hertha Berlin
Oct 2016
Hertha Berlin
2-0
Hamburger SV
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.