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Saturday 24 February 2018, 16:30 Allianz Arena Full time
79% 14% 6%
Home win
79.2%
Draw
14.4%
Away win
6.4%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Bayern München 79.2% 1.26
Draw 14.4% 6.95
Hertha Berlin 6.4% 15.71

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 95.6% 1.05
Under 0.5 4.4% 22.98
Over 1.5 83.6% 1.20
Under 1.5 16.4% 6.11
Over 2.5 62.6% 1.60
Under 2.5 37.4% 2.67
Over 3.5 40.4% 2.48
Under 3.5 59.6% 1.68
Over 4.5 22.4% 4.46
Under 4.5 77.6% 1.29

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 43.6% 2.29
No 56.4% 1.77

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Bayern München / Draw 93.6% 1.07
Bayern München / Hertha Berlin 85.6% 1.17
Draw / Hertha Berlin 20.8% 4.82

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
4.4
2.1
0.8
0.2
0.0
0.0
1
9.9
6.9
2.0
0.4
0.1
0.0
2
13.4
8.4
2.6
0.6
0.1
0.0
3
11.6
7.3
2.3
0.5
0.1
0.0
4
7.5
4.7
1.5
0.3
0.0
0.0
5
3.9
2.5
0.8
0.2
0.0
0.0
Rows: Bayern München goals. Columns: Hertha Berlin goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.