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Friday 19 January 2018, 21:30 Olympiastadion Full time
31% 24% 45%
Home win
31.0%
Draw
23.8%
Away win
45.2%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Hertha Berlin 31.0% 3.23
Draw 23.8% 4.20
Borussia Dortmund 45.2% 2.21

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 95.8% 1.04
Under 0.5 4.2% 23.68
Over 1.5 84.9% 1.18
Under 1.5 15.1% 6.63
Over 2.5 64.4% 1.55
Under 2.5 35.6% 2.81
Over 3.5 42.3% 2.36
Under 3.5 57.7% 1.73
Over 4.5 24.0% 4.16
Under 4.5 76.0% 1.32

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 65.6% 1.53
No 34.4% 2.90

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Hertha Berlin / Draw 54.8% 1.82
Hertha Berlin / Borussia Dortmund 76.2% 1.31
Draw / Borussia Dortmund 69.0% 1.45

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
4.2
6.0
6.1
3.7
1.7
0.6
1
4.8
10.5
9.0
5.5
2.5
0.9
2
4.0
7.3
6.7
4.1
1.9
0.7
3
2.0
3.6
3.3
2.0
0.9
0.3
4
0.7
1.4
1.2
0.8
0.3
0.1
5
0.2
0.4
0.4
0.2
0.1
0.0
Rows: Hertha Berlin goals. Columns: Borussia Dortmund goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.