Sunday 14 January 2018, 19:00
Signal Iduna Park
Full time
70%
18%
12%
Home win
70.0%
Draw
18.0%
Away win
11.9%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Borussia Dortmund | 70.0% | 1.43 | — | — |
| Draw | 18.0% | 5.54 | — | — |
| VfL Wolfsburg | 11.9% | 8.40 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 95.9% | 1.04 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 4.1% | 24.56 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 84.9% | 1.18 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 15.1% | 6.63 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 64.6% | 1.55 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 35.4% | 2.82 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 42.5% | 2.35 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 57.5% | 1.74 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 24.2% | 4.13 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 75.8% | 1.32 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 54.9% | 1.82 | — | — |
| No | 45.1% | 2.22 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Borussia Dortmund / Draw | 88.1% | 1.14 | — | — |
| Borussia Dortmund / VfL Wolfsburg | 82.0% | 1.22 | — | — |
| Draw / VfL Wolfsburg | 30.0% | 3.34 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
4.1
|
2.8
|
1.5
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
8.2
|
8.4
|
3.6
|
1.1
|
0.3
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
10.5
|
9.6
|
4.4
|
1.3
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
8.4
|
7.7
|
3.5
|
1.1
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
5.1
|
4.6
|
2.1
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
2.5
|
2.2
|
1.0
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Feb 2026
VfL Wolfsburg
1-2
Borussia Dortmund
Sep 2025
Borussia Dortmund
1-0
VfL Wolfsburg
May 2025
Borussia Dortmund
4-0
VfL Wolfsburg
Dec 2024
VfL Wolfsburg
1-3
Borussia Dortmund
Feb 2024
VfL Wolfsburg
1-1
Borussia Dortmund
Sep 2023
Borussia Dortmund
1-0
VfL Wolfsburg
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.