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Saturday 16 December 2017, 16:30 RheinEnergieStadion Full time
43% 29% 28%
Home win
43.0%
Draw
28.8%
Away win
28.3%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
1. FC Köln 43.0% 2.33
Draw 28.8% 3.48
VfL Wolfsburg 28.3% 3.54

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 90.2% 1.11
Under 0.5 9.8% 10.21
Over 1.5 70.0% 1.43
Under 1.5 30.0% 3.34
Over 2.5 43.2% 2.32
Under 2.5 56.8% 1.76
Over 3.5 22.2% 4.50
Under 3.5 77.8% 1.29
Over 4.5 9.7% 10.36
Under 4.5 90.3% 1.11

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 49.0% 2.04
No 51.0% 1.96

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
1. FC Köln / Draw 71.7% 1.39
1. FC Köln / VfL Wolfsburg 71.2% 1.40
Draw / VfL Wolfsburg 57.0% 1.75

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
9.8
8.7
5.0
1.7
0.5
0.1
1
11.5
13.6
6.7
2.4
0.6
0.1
2
8.3
8.7
4.6
1.6
0.4
0.1
3
3.7
3.9
2.1
0.7
0.2
0.0
4
1.3
1.3
0.7
0.2
0.1
0.0
5
0.3
0.4
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: 1. FC Köln goals. Columns: VfL Wolfsburg goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.