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Saturday 18 November 2017, 16:30 Volkswagen Arena Full time
51% 27% 22%
Home win
50.8%
Draw
26.9%
Away win
22.3%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
VfL Wolfsburg 50.8% 1.97
Draw 26.9% 3.72
SC Freiburg 22.3% 4.49

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 91.2% 1.10
Under 0.5 8.8% 11.32
Over 1.5 72.2% 1.38
Under 1.5 27.8% 3.60
Over 2.5 45.9% 2.18
Under 2.5 54.1% 1.85
Over 3.5 24.5% 4.08
Under 3.5 75.5% 1.32
Over 4.5 11.0% 9.05
Under 4.5 89.0% 1.12

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 49.2% 2.03
No 50.8% 1.97

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
VfL Wolfsburg / Draw 77.7% 1.29
VfL Wolfsburg / SC Freiburg 73.1% 1.37
Draw / SC Freiburg 49.2% 2.03

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
8.8
7.0
3.7
1.2
0.3
0.1
1
11.9
12.8
5.7
1.8
0.4
0.1
2
9.9
9.4
4.5
1.4
0.3
0.1
3
5.1
4.9
2.3
0.7
0.2
0.0
4
2.0
1.9
0.9
0.3
0.1
0.0
5
0.6
0.6
0.3
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: VfL Wolfsburg goals. Columns: SC Freiburg goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.