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Saturday 14 October 2017, 16:30 Allianz Arena Full time
88% 9% 3%
Home win
88.1%
Draw
8.9%
Away win
3.0%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Bayern München 88.1% 1.14
Draw 8.9% 11.23
SC Freiburg 3.0% 32.88

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 97.4% 1.03
Under 0.5 2.6% 38.11
Over 1.5 88.9% 1.12
Under 1.5 11.1% 9.05
Over 2.5 72.1% 1.39
Under 2.5 27.9% 3.58
Over 3.5 51.3% 1.95
Under 3.5 48.7% 2.05
Over 4.5 32.0% 3.13
Under 4.5 68.0% 1.47

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 39.3% 2.54
No 60.7% 1.65

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Bayern München / Draw 97.0% 1.03
Bayern München / SC Freiburg 91.1% 1.10
Draw / SC Freiburg 11.9% 8.37

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
2.6
1.0
0.3
0.1
0.0
0.0
1
7.4
4.2
1.0
0.2
0.0
0.0
2
12.3
6.4
1.7
0.3
0.0
0.0
3
13.2
6.9
1.8
0.3
0.0
0.0
4
10.6
5.5
1.5
0.3
0.0
0.0
5
6.8
3.6
0.9
0.2
0.0
0.0
Rows: Bayern München goals. Columns: SC Freiburg goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.