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Saturday 23 September 2017, 16:30 Weser-Stadion Full time
64% 19% 17%
Home win
63.8%
Draw
19.4%
Away win
16.8%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Werder Bremen 63.8% 1.57
Draw 19.4% 5.14
SC Freiburg 16.8% 5.95

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 96.7% 1.03
Under 0.5 3.3% 29.92
Over 1.5 87.4% 1.14
Under 1.5 12.6% 7.96
Over 2.5 68.9% 1.45
Under 2.5 31.1% 3.21
Over 3.5 47.5% 2.11
Under 3.5 52.5% 1.90
Over 4.5 28.5% 3.51
Under 4.5 71.5% 1.40

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 63.1% 1.58
No 36.9% 2.71

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Werder Bremen / Draw 83.2% 1.20
Werder Bremen / SC Freiburg 80.6% 1.24
Draw / SC Freiburg 36.2% 2.76

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
3.3
2.9
2.0
0.8
0.2
0.1
1
6.3
8.5
4.7
1.8
0.5
0.1
2
8.1
9.5
5.6
2.2
0.6
0.1
3
6.5
7.6
4.4
1.7
0.5
0.1
4
3.8
4.5
2.6
1.0
0.3
0.1
5
1.8
2.1
1.3
0.5
0.1
0.0
Rows: Werder Bremen goals. Columns: SC Freiburg goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.