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Sunday 10 September 2017, 16:30 Olympiastadion Full time
45% 24% 30%
Home win
45.3%
Draw
24.2%
Away win
30.5%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Hertha Berlin 45.3% 2.21
Draw 24.2% 4.13
Werder Bremen 30.5% 3.28

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 95.4% 1.05
Under 0.5 4.6% 21.79
Over 1.5 83.8% 1.19
Under 1.5 16.2% 6.18
Over 2.5 62.5% 1.60
Under 2.5 37.5% 2.67
Over 3.5 40.3% 2.48
Under 3.5 59.7% 1.67
Over 4.5 22.4% 4.47
Under 4.5 77.6% 1.29

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 64.1% 1.56
No 35.9% 2.78

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Hertha Berlin / Draw 69.5% 1.44
Hertha Berlin / Werder Bremen 75.8% 1.32
Draw / Werder Bremen 54.7% 1.83

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
4.6
5.1
4.1
2.0
0.7
0.2
1
6.5
10.8
7.3
3.5
1.3
0.4
2
6.4
9.1
6.6
3.1
1.1
0.3
3
3.8
5.4
3.9
1.9
0.7
0.2
4
1.7
2.4
1.7
0.8
0.3
0.1
5
0.6
0.9
0.6
0.3
0.1
0.0
Rows: Hertha Berlin goals. Columns: Werder Bremen goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.